The Israeli cabinet voted today in favour of the principle of expelling Yasser Arafat from Israel:
“Recent days’ events have proven again that Yasser Arafat is a complete obstacle to any process of reconciliation … ” the Cabinet’s communique stated Thursday. “Israel will act to remove this obstacle in the manner, at the time, and in the ways that will be decided on separately …”
While Arafat is the worst kind of two-faced terrorist, I happen to think that expelling him is the worst possible move Israel could make right now. I agree with Shimon Peres in this case:
[Peres] warned that expelling Arafat would be a “historic mistake” that would “deepen the hostilities between the Palestinians and ourselves” and told CNN, “Arafat outside will be more effective and more negative than he is today.”
See, the thing is, Arafat has been a thorn in Israel’s side for decades. But there’s no easy solution to the problem. Basically, Israel has three choices: take him out, expel him, or leave him where he is.
Assassinating Arafat would be a pretty stupid move on Israel’s part, since it would turn him into an instant martyr. And that, of course, is exactly what he wants. Arafat’s worst nightmare is to die of old age, of natural causes. It’s been argued that he started the whole intifada because he wanted to go down in history as a martyr, and not as the person who shook hands with an Israeli prime minister. Arafat’s death caused by the IDF would play right into his hands. Not to mention pissing off the few places left in the world with sympathy for Israel.
But expelling him isn’t much better. Right now, he’s confined to his Ramallah compound, essentially under siege, restricted from travel and surrounded by IDF troops. He’s still calling the shots in the PA, which is why Israel is so keen on getting rid of him, but internationally he’s been largely sidelined.
Just look at the propaganda that he manages to create from his compound in Ramallah. Now imagine what would happen if he had the entire world as his base of operations? If he could travel to Syria to arrange weapons imports, and then fly to London or Paris to get his picture on the front page with some opposition politician trying to score far-left brownie points. If he could set up a base of operations wherever he wanted, and whip the Middle East into a frenzy by addressing large crowds or holding court at his whim?
Which is why it’s probably best if Israel just leaves him where he is. The cabinet may think that by removing him from power, it would clear the way for a more moderate Palestinian politician to take the reins. But in all likelihood, it would just strengthen the extremist groups.
So while it’s understandable that Israel would want to kick out Arafat, whose corrupt terorrist-sponsoring leadership has been responsible for the loss of so much innocent life on all sides, strategically it’s not a very smart move.


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