Demerger Results

06.20.04

8:30pm: The polls have been closed for 90 minutes and the results are starting to come in.

So far on the Montreal island, the Yes side has pulled it off in Anjou, Baie D’Urfé, Beaconsfield, Dorval, Kirkland, Île-Bizard, Île-Dorval, Montreal-Est, Montreal-West, T.M.R., Pointe-Claire, Roxboro, and Senneville, among others.

Dollard, my hometown till recently, is still up in the air. The Yes side is leading with 83.95%, but so far only 33.02% of voters have cast a ballot. The magic number of 35% must be reached for the result to count. There are still a number of polling stations to report, though, so it’s looking encouraging.

8:35pm: We did it!!! Dollard has 39.43% voter turnout.

8:40pm: Côte St-Luc and Hampstead are still up in the air; neither has hit the 35% mark yet. Westmount is just a few votes shy, with a lot more polls to count. And Pierrefonds and St-Laurent are both very far away and it doesn’t look like either of them are going to make it.

8:45pm: Off the island of Montreal and around the province, a number of former municipalities reached 35% but voted “No”. These include Aubert-Gallion, Beauport, Black Lake, Bromptonville, Buckingham, Canton Sutton (by a narrow margin), Cap-Rouge, Charlesbourg, Charny, Gallix, Hull, Maple Grove, Melocheville, Metis-Sur-Mer, Mont-Brun, Notre-Dame-du-Mont-Carmel, Petit-Matane, Robertsonville, Saint-Athanase, Saint-Élie-d’Orford, Saint-Émile (also by a narrow margin), Sainte-Rosalie, Sainte-Veronique, Saint-Jean-Baptiste, Saint-Jean-des-Piles, Saint-Luc-de-Matane, Saint-Rédempteur, Sillery, and Val-Bélair. There are close races in a number of others. Oh well, that’s their democratic right and at least the people had the opportunity to decide. And besides, I can take consolation in the fact that the “no” victory isn’t a victory for Gerard Tremblay.

8:50pm: The 35% mark has been surpassed in Westmount, with over 90% of ballots cast voting Yes. As if there was ever any doubt. Cote St-Luc and Hampstead are still shy of the cutoff.

8:55pm: Hampstead has pulled it off. I guess the largest polls reported last because the turnout in the end was over 50%, with more than 90% of the votes to demerge.

9:00pm: Cote-St-Luc has surpassed 35% and thus voted to demerge. It seems that on the island of Montreal, only Pierrefonds and St-Laurent have not yet reached 35%. Neither seems likely to either, though it might be close.

9:10pm: Final results in Dollard are 85.21% Yes, with 44.12% voter turnout.

9:25pm: Of the 22 former cities on the island of Montreal that held referendums today, 18 have now voted to demerge. Only Ste-Genevieve, Pierrefonds, LaSalle, and Saint-Laurent are still short of the 35% turnout needed to make their yes majorities count.

9:35pm: As several people have correctly pointed out, I’ve made an error. The 35% rule actually states that 35% of all people in each municipality must vote yes in order for the vote to count.

Therefore, the cities of Anjou, Île-Bizard, and Roxboro, contrary to my earlier report, actually failed their bid to demerge. All three had Yes majorities and more than 35% of people voted, but less than 35% of the total people voted Yes.

Ste-Genevieve and LaSalle also lost their bids to demerge, and Pierrefonds and Saint-Laurent appear to be headed towards losses as well.

Therefore, of the 22 cities on the island of Montreal that held referendums, it looks like only 15 will successfully demerge.

9:50pm: Pierrefonds has officially failed its demerger bid.

9:55pm: Dollard’s final results were actually perilously close. 37.36% of registered voters cast a “Yes” ballot, which surpasses the 35% required but is a lot closer than I would have thought. I’m glad now that I urged my friends and relatives in Dollard to take the time to vote. Unlike in most elections *ahem Federal*, every vote actually counts in this one.

Oh well, Dollard is out of the megacity and that’s what matters.

10:00pm: The results are in. 15 Montreal cities have voted to demerge. Anjou, Pierrefonds, St-Laurent, Ste-Genevieve, and LaSalle have all fallen well short of the required 35%.

And 132 people in Île-Bizard and 74 people in Roxboro are kicking themselves right now for staying home.

Hmmm, considering that Dollard and Roxboro had been merged into a single borough, I wonder what happens now that DDO has voted to demerge and Roxboro hasn’t. Does Roxboro become its own borough? Will it be merged into Pierrefonds?

{ 9 comments… read them below or add one }

1 Anonymous 11.30.-1 at 12:00 AM

It’s official. Ile-Bizard gets 33.7% of the vote and is the closest loss for the island of Montreal. Demerger count stands at 15, with Ile-Bizard, Pierrefonds, Ste-Genevieve, Roxboro, Saint-Laurent, LaSalla and Anjou failing to get the required 35%.

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2 Anonymous 06.21.04 at 2:07 AM

Uhh… your math is wrong. The Yes side did NOT pull it off in Anjou, Ile-Bizard or Roxboro. Cote-St-Luc is still at 31% according to the DGE, and still too close to call.

Roxboro officially failed in its referendum campaign as of about half an hour ago.

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3 Anonymous 06.21.04 at 2:10 AM

Congrats, by the way. As of about 9:10pm, it’s official for Dollard-des-Ormeaux: it’s demerging.

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4 segacs 06.21.04 at 2:11 AM

Anonymous, Roxboro has 49.92% voter turnout, with 67.40% of votes cast for the “Yes” side.

Anjou and Ile-Bizard are also decisively yes.

You must have outdated results.

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5 Anonymous 06.21.04 at 2:21 AM

Your figures are correct, but what is necessary to demerge is 35% of all electors to cast a “yes” ballot. In Roxboro , it’s 33.36% with all polls reporting. Radio-Canada has been reporting it a loss for the past hour.

Anjou: http://www.resultatduvote.qc.ca/index.asp?NoSecteur=0 is 26.47% with all polls reporting.

Ile Bizard: http://www.resultatduvote.qc.ca/index.asp?NoSecteur=41 now 32.03% with all but one poll reporting.

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6 Anonymous 06.21.04 at 2:21 AM
7 segacs 06.21.04 at 2:34 AM

You’re right. My apologies.

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8 segacs 06.21.04 at 3:20 AM

Roxboro was actually closer than Ile-Bizard.

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9 segacs 06.21.04 at 3:25 AM

To clarify, Ile-Bizard was closer percentage-wise (33.7% compared to Roxboro’s 33.4%) but Roxboro was closer in terms of absolute number of votes needed.

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