But predictions, on the other hand…


I don’t have any money riding on this and I’m not afraid to look foolish if I’m wrong. A prediction is different from an endorsement… it’s about what I think will happen, not what I think ought to happen.

For what it’s worth, here’s my US election prediction: A narrow win for Bush, but not so narrow that it takes a month in the courts to sort out.

Why? Simply beacuse all these neck-and-neck polls for months have shown Bush slightly ahead. Kerry has never been leading at any point in this campaign.

I think that most Americans – whether fairly or unfairly – feel that Bush understands that there’s a war going on better than Kerry understands this. Implicitly they trust Bush over Kerry on security. And tomorrow at the polls, I think they’ll give Dubya four more years.

But hey, I could be wrong.

{ 6 comments… read them below or add one }

1 Arturo 11.01.04 at 7:54 PM

All these polls are either rigged or are so inaccurate as to be meaningless – so discount all the media reports you’ve heard or read with news about polls.


2 DaninVan 11.02.04 at 12:58 AM

Yeh! Disregard everything you’ve heard about Poles!!


3 DaninVan 11.02.04 at 5:18 AM
4 Chairman Yasser Arafat 11.02.04 at 10:54 AM

I want to be chairman of the USA

– Yasser from Paris


5 Jonny 11.03.04 at 9:40 AM

Has anyone else noticed Yasser’s remarkable recovery?


6 Francis 11.03.04 at 11:07 PM

Good call!


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