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But predictions, on the other hand…

I don’t have any money riding on this and I’m not afraid to look foolish if I’m wrong. A prediction is different from an endorsement… it’s about what I think will happen, not what I think ought to happen.

For what it’s worth, here’s my US election prediction: A narrow win for Bush, but not so narrow that it takes a month in the courts to sort out.

Why? Simply beacuse all these neck-and-neck polls for months have shown Bush slightly ahead. Kerry has never been leading at any point in this campaign.

I think that most Americans – whether fairly or unfairly – feel that Bush understands that there’s a war going on better than Kerry understands this. Implicitly they trust Bush over Kerry on security. And tomorrow at the polls, I think they’ll give Dubya four more years.

But hey, I could be wrong.

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