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Saddam’s greatest cheerleader, Hans Blix, said that he doesn’t think Saddam will use chemical or biological weapons for fear of turning world opinion against him:

Iraq is unlikely to use chemical or biological weapons to defend itself from a U.S.-led invasion because world opinion would turn against it, chief U.N. weapons inspector Hans Blix said Wednesday. “Saddam Hussein has certainly figured himself to be a sort of emperor of Mesopotamia, and the leader of the Arab world,” Blix said. “So I think he very likely cares very much about his reputation.”

Wait a sec . . . I thought Blix assured us that Saddam didn’t have any of those chemical or biological weapons.

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Update on comments

Well, the old missing comments are back, but now the new ones have disappeared (from the past four days or so). Hopefully they’ll be back soon. Sorry about the inconvenience – nobody’s being censored, it’s just Haloscan having problems again.

Update: They’re all back now.

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Meanwhile, back in Quebec

There’s an election going on here (anyone remember that?) and today’s polls show the Liberals slightly ahead of the PQ.

This is good news on the surface, but with daily fluctuations, it doesn’t mean much. The only poll that matters is the ballot box, in other words.

It’s also worth noting that a majority in the polls doesn’t mean a majority government. It doesn’t even mean being elected. The Liberals won the popular vote last election, but the PQ won a majority of seats. Thanks to our ingenious ridings system, the Liberals need a ton more support in “soft nationalist” ridings in order to have a chance at forming government, because the PQ’s support is traditionally more spread out, while the Liberals tend to get a lot of waste votes in concentrated areas like Montreal. In fact, a party could win the election with only 17% of the vote under the current ridings system.

How’s this for absurdity? It is theoretically possible that a party that finishes third in the popular vote April 14, with 17 per cent of the valid votes province-wide or even less, could win a majority of the seats in the next Quebec legislature.

(You can do the math yourself. It takes 63 out of the 125 seats in the National Assembly for a majority. With three major parties, one of them could win every one of those seats with only 34 per cent of the votes in each riding, if the other two parties split the rest of the votes evenly.

Factor in votes for minor candidates, and it could win with even fewer votes. It wouldn’t need a single vote in the other 62 ridings.)

It is a real possibility that a party rejected by more than 60 per cent of the voters will form a “majority” government.

And it is possible, even probable, that another majority government will be elected in Quebec with less than half the overall vote, as in seven of the last nine general elections.

And the Americans think that they have it bad because of Florida.

As it turns out, the ADQ could be the spoiler factor here. If they succeed in splitting the nationalist vote enough in certain ridings to allow the Liberals to edge the PQ, then the Liberals could have a shot. If they steal more support from Liberal ridings, giving the PQ the spoiler vote, than we’re sure to have another five years of separatist government.

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High school students suspended

A group of high school students have been suspended for skipping class to protest the war. Apparently, many of them are complaining, but the school board is standing firm:

“We’re sending a message out to students who want to do the same thing,” said Michael Cohen, spokesperson for the English Montreal School Board.

“We have nothing against the idea of them protesting the war. If they would have done this after school hours, it would have been fine.”

[ . . . ]

Frat, who has two kids at Lester B. Pearson, said the “demonstrators” were probably more intent on enjoying the balmy weather than denouncing George W. Bush.

They could have added a couple of points: firstly, most of these kids probably have no idea why they oppose the war, since it appears they don’t spend too much time in classrooms reading their history textbooks. They probably are protesting because their friends are, and they think it’s cool. Secondly, anything high school students do as an excuse to skip class isn’t exactly a protest, it’s just an excuse to get out of class. Maybe it’s a little more creative than the ones we used to use, but come on, we’re talking about high school here!

Note that if this had happened at Concordia, the CSU would be suing the administration as we speak.

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Political strife in the classroom

This evening, something strange happened in my French class at Université de Montréal. It’s something that didn’t happen at all in three years at Concordia – Concordia, the school known more for its riots and anti-American, anti-Zionist politics than for its academics. And despite that, never once did I have this problem. But this evening, in the middle of verb conjugations and vocabulary lessons, my teacher decided to vent her political views. And the classroom rapidly turned into a bastion of America-bashing, right before my very eyes.

It’s not so much that she chose to express her opinion (which pretty much consists of the standard leftist line on how the US was going to war for “no reason” and how it’s such a tragedy because innocent people are going to die so Bush can get oil, etc.). It was the fact that she allowed the rest of the class to use her opening as an opportunity to bash the United States. And of course, the inevitable non-sequiteur tie-in to Israel, as Rachel Corrie’s name was bandied about within seconds.

And I just sat there, fuming.

Of course, I could have said something. I could have said a lot of things. I’ve never had a particular problem of being in the minority — as I clearly was in this case. In fact, I think I was the only one who doesn’t consider it a badge of honour to have been out at the anti-Bush (er, anti-war) protest on Saturday. But I’ve never been one to shy away from debate before.

The point is, I felt it was inappropriate. It wasn’t the time or the place to get into a political debate. We were all there to learn about possessive pronouns, not possession of weapons of mass destruction. I thought it was horribly inappropriate for the teacher to start the conversation, and I didn’t want to compound it by turning the anti-American free-for-all into a full-fledged debate. In French, no less — and I must admit that being somewhat inarticulate in French was a factor that motivated me to keep my mouth shut. So I just sat with my arms folded and did my best to give the teacher a dirty look.

In the second half of the class, however, I decided I needed to say something — quietly. I told the teacher I felt uncomfortable with what had happened, and while I didn’t think it was appropriate to say anything at the time, I don’t share her political views and I’d appreciate if she kept differing opinions in mind. I talked about how I could have explained my position but I didn’t want to turn French class into world politics class.

Her reaction was interesting. She was very polite, and said it was never her intention to be insulting — and indeed, she never was. But she continued to hold that “it’s an issue that touches all of us” and claimed that she was very upset and needed to share her thoughts. She also seemed unable to comprehend that there were people out there who weren’t opposed to war in Iraq on principle. She took it as a given, and seemed genuinely surprised to hear that other viewpoints exist.

Still hoping to avoid a political debate, I ended the conversation right then and there. But I learned a few valuable lessons.

First and foremost, it’s all too easy to understand why an overwhelming majority of university students hold the same antiwar views. Quite simply, they want to fit in. They want to feel like they belong. And everyone else thinks it, and most of them don’t have enough background information to form a strong counter-position. So they just get swept along with the tide.

I also learned why even innocent offhand comments by a professor in a classroom are so dangerous. Freedom of expression, yes. Freedom of speech. But with the role of teacher comes the responsibility not to abuse that position. My French teacher is a very nice person, and she had absolutely no malicious intent. The problem is that not all professors are so innocent. Just check out Campus Watch for a few examples.

Certainly I don’t expect everyone to conform to my views. But there’s a time and place for debate, and that wasn’t it.

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Bush gives Saddam 48-hour warning

It’s strange – when it’s a slow news day, I tend to go nuts and blog incessantly. But now that there’s actual news, I find I’m not in the mood to blog. Maybe it’s because I’m spending too much time tuned to other media sources. I don’t know.

At any rate, there’s no shortage of blogs with regular updates on the situation. I recommend checking out some of the ones listed on the lefthand side of this site, for starters.

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And Canada’s out

Canada will not be playing any role in a US-led attack on Iraq, expected to be launched this week, according to Jean Chretien.

Not that we would have had much to contribute . . . but by making this statement, Chretien is saying that he doesn’t support the US and its allies over the UN. And that is likely to have consequences. The world will remember that when the courageous took action, Canada remained silent.

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Second UN resolution abandoned

So it’s starting to look like war is looming, inevitable, and that it will begin sometime this week, as allies the U.S., Britain, and Spain abandon a second UN resolution.

“The co-sponsors of the resolution have agreed they will not pursue a vote on the draft resolution,” British Ambassador Jeremy Greenstock said. “The co-sponsors reserve the right to take their own steps to secure the disarmament of Iraq.”

Meanwhile, the White House said U.S. President George W. Bush would address his nation at 8 p.m. ET Monday (0100 GMT Tuesday).

This is the final countdown. We’re in it now, folks.

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Saint Patrick’s Day

Happy Saint Patrick’s Day to everyone.

Oh, and happy birthday to the zillions of people who I know who were all born this week. This is always the World Series of birthdays at this time of year for some reason.

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Nail in the coffin

The Habs lost tonight. This sucks. The final nail in the coffin that was once our hopes for the playoffs.

The game was a lot of fun though, and my friend won a free t-shirt.

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